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A Measured Headroom That Nothing Could Reach

A Measured Headroom That Nothing Could Reach

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8 min read
Stability Metrics: Min, Max, and Standard Deviation as First-Class Citizens

Stability Metrics: Min, Max, and Standard Deviation as First-Class Citizens

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3 min read
A Learner That Scored Below Its Own Random Control

A Learner That Scored Below Its Own Random Control

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9 min read
A Missing Score Is Not a Neutral Score: Three Ways Our Hackathon Judging Maths Broke

A Missing Score Is Not a Neutral Score: Three Ways Our Hackathon Judging Maths Broke

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8 min read
The median said every neon pays off. Splitting by price said the opposite.

The median said every neon pays off. Splitting by price said the opposite.

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4 min read
Words Fitted to a Rule's Own Mistakes Do Not Travel

Words Fitted to a Rule's Own Mistakes Do Not Travel

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6 min read
I wrote a justification in my docs, then tested it. It was mostly wrong.

I wrote a justification in my docs, then tested it. It was mostly wrong.

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7 min read
I Built the Platform That Will Judge Me: Z-Scores, Judge Islands, and a Dataset Where Nobody Agrees

I Built the Platform That Will Judge Me: Z-Scores, Judge Islands, and a Dataset Where Nobody Agrees

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6 min read
Who Leads Hugging Face's Official Benchmarks? Concentration, Gaps and Hidden Entries (Measured 2026-10-06)

Who Leads Hugging Face's Official Benchmarks? Concentration, Gaps and Hidden Entries (Measured 2026-10-06)

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10 min read
Two players, pick one on last season's numbers: how often is it right? MLB 2026, checked against rules fixed in advance

Two players, pick one on last season's numbers: how often is it right? MLB 2026, checked against rules fixed in advance

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11 min read
How well do player projections predict team wins? I froze MLB 2026 first, then checked

How well do player projections predict team wins? I froze MLB 2026 first, then checked

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9 min read
Code Completion From Your Own Repository's Statistics

Code Completion From Your Own Repository's Statistics

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5 min read
Por que 9 passageiros não contam a história toda: O Teorema do Limite Central na prática

Por que 9 passageiros não contam a história toda: O Teorema do Limite Central na prática

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3 min read
I pre-registered a test of a famous market effect — here's how it failed

I pre-registered a test of a famous market effect — here's how it failed

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7 min read
China's sports lottery is not a betting market — it's a formula

China's sports lottery is not a betting market — it's a formula

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4 min read
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