
analysis
The Midterms Are Unlikely To Alter the U.S.’s Fiscal Trajectory
The Nov. 3 elections and the resulting political gridlock under a divided Congress will sustain large fiscal deficits and rising national debt, though broader market instability remains unlikely.
Oct 13, 2026
read more Read more: The Midterms Are Unlikely To Alter the U.S.’s Fiscal TrajectoryFeatured Analysis
OSINT PREMIUM
Oct 13, 2026
Iran Is Fortifying Nuclear Sites and Rallying Its People for a Return to Fighting
Iran is fortifying its defenses, rallying loyalists, and threatening a wider, harsher response against the US and its Gulf allies as it prepares for potential American attacks after the midterms and seeks to deter them.
Oct 13, 2026
Malawi Motorists Sleep at Petrol Stations as Fuel Shortages Return
Motorists are sleeping overnight at petrol stations and taxi drivers have been left without work as crippling fuel shortages grip Malawi once again. The situation improved temporarily after President Peter Mutharika won the vote and raised pump prices, but worsened again after the Iran war began in late February.
Oct 13, 2026
Morocco's Biggest Party Strikes Deal to Form Coalition Government
Morocco's largest political party is joining forces with three rivals to form a coalition government, pledging a "shared reformist vision" as it bids to address rising youth anger over economic inequality and corruption.
Forecasts PREMIUM
Sep 28, 2026
2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.
Jun 29, 2026
2026 Third-Quarter Forecast
A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.
Mar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.




