Skip to main page content
U.S. flag

An official website of the United States government

Dot gov

The .gov means it’s official.
Federal government websites often end in .gov or .mil. Before sharing sensitive information, make sure you’re on a federal government site.

Https

The site is secure.
The https:// ensures that you are connecting to the official website and that any information you provide is encrypted and transmitted securely.

Access keys NCBI Homepage MyNCBI Homepage Main Content Main Navigation
Filters applied. Clear filters
. 2026 Jul 3;10(4):zrag062.
doi: 10.1093/bjsopen/zrag062.

Evaluating quality of colorectal cancer surgery across elective and emergency health systems: secondary analysis of prospective cohort studies in 95 countries

Collaborators, Affiliations

Evaluating quality of colorectal cancer surgery across elective and emergency health systems: secondary analysis of prospective cohort studies in 95 countries

Sivesh K Kamarajah et al. BJS Open. .

Abstract

Background: The Lancet Oncology Commission on Global Cancer Surgery recommended that access to and the quality of surgical care be improved. This study aimed to understand differences in surgical quality between emergency and elective resection among patients with potentially curative colorectal cancer.

Methods: This preplanned secondary analysis included patients undergoing only curative-intent surgery for colorectal cancer from three contemporary global prospective cohort studies (GlobalSurg-3, 5506 patients; CovidSurg-Cancer, 6719 patients; APOLLO, 876 patients) registered from 2018 to 2023. Hierarchical multilevel logistic regression models quantified associations between the urgency of surgery (elective versus emergency) and surgical quality, measured by margin-positive resection, adjusting for patient, disease, and health system factors. Bootstrap multivariable simulations evaluated effect modification by country income level, cancer stage, and location.

Results: Of the 45 699 patients registered, 13 101 across 95 countries were included in this analysis. Overall, 678 patients (5.4%) had margin-positive resections, with higher rates in the emergency than elective surgery group (13.7 versus 4.5%; P < 0.0001). In adjusted multilevel models, emergency surgery was associated with increased odds of margin-positive resections (adjusted odds ratio 2.45, 95% confidence interval (c.i.) 1.86 to 3.22), consistent across all country income groups and robust to alternative health system indicators. Bootstrap-derived absolute risk differences revealed the greatest disparities in patients with stage III-IV rectal cancers, with absolute differences of 12.6% (95% c.i. 10.2 to 15.7) in high-income countries, 19.0% (95% c.i. 13.6 to 23.9) in upper middle-income countries, and 14.1% (95% c.i. 10.9 to 16.5) in lower middle- and low-income countries. Variance decomposition demonstrated that hospital- and country-level factors accounted for 76% of the explained variation in surgical quality.

Conclusion: Emergency surgery was associated with a two- to threefold increase in the risk of margin-positive resections globally, independent of resource availability, highlighting a neglected area of global surgical practice. These findings challenge the assumption that poorer outcomes after emergency surgery are due to advanced disease stage. For patients presenting as an emergency with potentially curative resection, enhanced decision-making around resectability, ensuring specialist surgeon availability, and developing bridge-to-surgery pathways represent immediate, low-cost strategies to improve global cancer outcomes.

Keywords: global health.

PubMed Disclaimer

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Flow chart of patient inclusion across the three prospective cohort studies
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Multilevel logistic regression of patient, disease, and health system characteristics on margin-positive resection in patients undergoing potentially curative cancer surgery The multilevel model includes hospital and country identifier as random effects. Error bars and values in parentheses represent 95% confidence intervals. ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists.
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
Association between the urgency of surgery and country income level from bootstrap simulations a Predicted probability and b absolute risk difference for margin-positive resection by urgency of surgery and country income level. c Predicted probability for margin-positive resection by urgency of surgery stratified by preoperative overall stage and cancer location (that is, colon, rectum). Data show odds ratio with 95% confidence interval.
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
Multilevel logistic regression model in patients with potentially curative colorectal cancer evaluating associations between the urgency of surgery and margin status across different health system policy indices a Healthcare access and quality index, b surgical workforce density, c universal health coverage index, d human development index, and e healthcare expenditure per PPP. Error bars and values in parentheses represent 95% confidence intervals. PPP, power purchase parity.

References

    1. Bray F, Laversanne M, Sung H, Ferlay J, Siegel RL, Soerjomataram I et al. Global cancer statistics 2022: GLOBOCAN estimates of incidence and mortality worldwide for 36 cancers in 185 countries. CA Cancer J Clin 2024;74:229–263 - PubMed
    1. Bray F, Jemal A, Grey N, Ferlay J, Forman D. Global cancer transitions according to the Human Development Index (2008–2030): a population-based study. Lancet Oncol 2012;13:790–801 - PubMed
    1. Siegel RL, Torre LA, Soerjomataram I, Hayes RB, Bray F, Weber TK et al. Global patterns and trends in colorectal cancer incidence in young adults. Gut 2019;68:2179–2185 - PubMed
    1. Hanna TP, King WD, Thibodeau S, Jalink M, Paulin GA, Harvey-Jones E et al. Mortality due to cancer treatment delay: systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ 2020;371:m4087. - PMC - PubMed
    1. Are C, Murthy SS, Sullivan R, Schissel M, Chowdhury S, Alatise O et al. Global cancer surgery: pragmatic solutions to improve cancer surgery outcomes worldwide. Lancet Oncol 2023;24:e472–e518 - PubMed

Publication types